Staff – Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS

RNDr. Martin Dubrovský, Ph.D.

Department:	Department of Climatology
Position:
Position:	Senior Research Scientist
E-mail:
Phone:
Room:

Education:

1991-1997 - Ph.D. study in Mathematical and Physical Faculty, Charles University, Prague. Thesis: Statistical methods of very short range forecasting of meteorological phenomena
1981-1986 - Mathematical and Physical Faculty, Charles University, Prague

Employment and academic experience:

Professional interest:

Stochastic weather generators - their development and application in climate change impacts experiments
climate change - development of climate change scenarios
Statistical methods in climatology

Other info:

Projects:

GA21-07954S , Varying atmospheric variability, 2021-2024, investigator (IAP): Pejchová Plavcová Eva, team: Beranová, R., Dubrovský, M., Huth, R., Kašpar, M., Krauskopf, T., Lhotka, O., Navrátilová, D., Rulfová, Z.
GA ČR GA18-15958S , Development of high-resolution spatial weather generator for use in present and future climate conditions, 2018-2020, investigator (IAP): Dubrovský Martin, team: Lhotka, O., spoluřešitel: Štěpánek, P. (ÚVGZ)
GA ČR GA16-04676S , Novel approaches to assessing climatic trends and their statistical significance, 2016-2018, lead investigator: Huth Radan (PřF UK), investigator (IAP): Dubrovský Martin, team: Pokorná, L.
MŠMT 7AMB16AT020 , Development of a multi-site stochastic weather generator for use in snow-hydrological modelling, 2016-2017, investigator (IAP): Dubrovský Martin
LD12029 , Downscaling the Global Climate Models with use of the Stochastic Weather Generator, 2012-2015, investigator (IAP): Dubrovský Martin
COST ES1102 , VALUE – Validating and Integrating Downscaling Methods for Climate Change Research, 2012-2015, investigator (IAP): Dubrovský Martin
AV ČR. IAA300420806 , Pravděpodobnostní scénáře klimatu pro Českou republiku, 2008-2011, investigator (IAP): Dubrovský Martin

Publications:

Pohanková, E., Hlavinka, P., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Rodríguez, A., Balek, J., Dubrovský, M. et al., 2024: Expected effects of climate change on the soil organic matter content related to contrasting agricultural management practices based on a crop model ensemble for locations in Czechia, European Journal of Agronomy, 156, 127165
Meitner, J., Štěpánek, P., Skalák, P., Dubrovský, M., Lhotka, O., Penčevová, R., Zahradníček, P., Farda, A., Trnka, M., 2023: Validation and Selection of a Representative Subset from the Ensemble of EURO-CORDEX EUR11 Regional Climate Model Outputs for the Czech Republic, Atmosphere, 14, 9, 1442
Pohanková, E., Hlavinka, P., Kersebaum, K. C., Rodriguez, A., Balek, J., Bednařík, M., Dubrovský, Martin et al., 2022: Expected effects of climate change on the production and water use of crop rotation management reproduced by crop model ensemble for Czech Republic sites, European Journal of Agronomy, 134, 126446
Trnka, M., Vizina, A., Hanel, M., (...), Dubrovský, Martin, Máca, P., Bělinová, M., Zeman, E., Brázdil, R., 2022: Increasing available water capacity as a factor for increasing drought resilience or potential conflict over water resources under present and future climate conditions, Agricultural Water Management, 264, 107460
Hofmann, M., Volosciuk, C., Dubrovský, Martin, Maraun, D., Schultz, H.R., 2022: Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high resolution, site–specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes, Earth System Dynamics, 13, 2, 911-934
Huth, R., Dubrovský, M., 2021: Testing for Trends on a Regional Scale: Beyond Local Significance, Journal of Climate, 34, 13, 5349-5365
Trnka, M., Balek, J., Brázdil, R., Dubrovský, Martin, Eitzinger, J., Hlavinka, P., Chuchma, F., Možný, M., Prášil, I., Růžek, P., Semerádová, D., Štěpánek, P., Zahradníček, P., Žalud, Z., 2021: Observed changes in the agroclimatic zones in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2019, Plant, Soil and Environment, 67, 3, 154-163
Dabhi, H., Rotach, M. W., Dubrovský, Martin, Oberguggenberger, M., 2021: Evaluation of a stochastic weather generator in simulating univariate and multivariate climate extremes in different climate zones across Europe, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 30, 2, 127-151
Dubrovský, Martin, Huth, Radan, Dabhi, H., Rotach, M. W., 2020: Parametric gridded weather generator for use in present and future climates: focus on spatial temperature characteristics, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139, 3-4
Trnka, M., Balek, J., Možný, M., Cienciala, E., Čermák, P., Semerádová, D., Jurečka, F., Hlavinka, P., Štěpánek, P., Farda, A., Skalák, P., Beranová, J., Chuchma, F., Zahradníček, P., Janouš, D., Žalud, Z., Dubrovský, Martin, Kindlmann, P., Křenová, Z., Fischer, M., Hruška, J., Brázdil, R., 2020: Observed and expected changes in wildfire-conducive weather and fire events in peri-urban zones and key nature reserves of the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 82, 33-54
Gutiérrez, J. M., Maraun, D., Widmann, M., Huth, Radan, (...), Dubrovský, Martin, 2019: An intercomparison of a large ensemble of statistical downscaling methods over Europe: Results from the VALUE perfect predictor cross-validation experiment, International Journal of Climatology, 39, 9 SI, 3750-3785

Maraun, D., Huth, Radan, Gutiérrez, J. M., Martín, D. S., Dubrovský, Martin, (...), 2019: The VALUE perfect predictor experiment: evaluation of temporal variability, International Journal of Climatology, 39, 9, 3786-3818
Zahradníček, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Žalud, Z. ; Malý, A. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Řezníčková, L., 2015: The extreme drought episode of August 2011–May 2012 in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 11, 3335-3352
Hlavinka, Petr ; Kersebaum, K. C. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Fischer, Milan ; Pohanková, Eva ; Balek, Jan ; Žalud, Zdeněk ; Trnka, Miroslav, 2015: Water balance, drought stress and yields for rainfed field crop rotations under present and future conditions in the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 65, 175-192
Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Možný, M. ; Štepánek, P. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Zahradníček, P. ; Balek, J. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Hlavinka, P. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Wardlow, B. ; Svoboda, M. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Z., 2015: Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 13, 3733–3747
Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Balek, J. ; Semerádová, D. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Možný, M. ; Štepánek, P. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Zahradníček, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, J. ; Fuchs, B. ; Svoboda, M. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Z., 2015: Drivers of soil drying in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 9, 2664–2675
Dubrovský, Martin ; Trnka, M. ; Holman, I. P. ; Svobodová, E. ; Harrison, P. A., 2015: Developing a reduced-form ensemble of climate change scenarios for Europe and its application to selected impact indicators, Climatic Change, 128, 3-4, 169-186
Dubrovský, Martin ; Hayes, M. ; Duce, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Svoboda, M. ; Zara, P. , 2014: Multi-GCM projections of future drought and climate variability indicators for the Mediterranean region, Regional Environmental Change, 14, 5, 1907-1919
Svobodová, E. ; Trnka, M. ; Žalud, Z. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, J. ; Štepánek, P. ; Brázdil, R., 2014: Climate variability and potential distribution of selected pest species in south Moravia and north-east Austria in the past 200 years – lessons for the future, Journal of Agricultural Science, 152, 2, 225-237
Eitzinger, J. ; Trnka, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Thaler, S. ; Svobodová, E. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Šiška, B. ; Takáč, J. ; Malatinská, L. ; Nováková, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Žalud, Z., 2013: Regional climate change impacts on agricultural crop production in Central and Eastern Europe – hotspots, regional differences and common trends, Journal of Agricultural Science, 151, 6, 787-812
Trnka, M. ; Kersebaum,, K. C. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Hayes, M. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Svoboda, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Wardlow, B. ; Pokorný, E. ; Možný, M. ; Wilhite, D. ; Žalud, Z., 2013: Consequences of climate change for the soil climate in Central Europe and the central plains of the United States, Climatic Change, 120, 1-2, 405-418
Hirschi, M. ; Stoeckli, S. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Spirig, C. ; Calanca, P. ; Rotach, M. V. ; Fischer, A. M. ; Duffy, B. ; Samietz, J. , 2012: Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease modeling in Switzerland, Earth System Dynamics , 3, 1, 33-47
Thaler, S. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Trnka, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin , 2012: Impacts of climate change and alternative adaptation options on winter wheat yield and water productivity in a dry climate in Central Europe, Journal of Agricultural Science, 150, 5, 537-555
Rötter, R.P. ; Palosuo, T. ; Pirttioja, N. K. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Salo, T. ; Fronzek, S. ; Aikasalo, R. ; Trnka, M. ; Ristolainen, A ; Carter, T. R., 2011: What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 degrees C? A model-based assessment , European Journal of Agronomy, 35, 205-214
Kocmánková, E. ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Eitzinger, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Štěpánek, P. ; Semerádová, D. ; Balek, J. ; Skalák, P. ; Farda, A. ; Juroch, J. ; Žalud, Z., 2011: Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests at a high spatial resolution: a novel approach, Journal of Agricultural Science, 149, -, 185-195
Trnka, Miroslav ; Olesen, Jorgen Eivind ; Kersebaum, K. C. ; Skjelvag, A. O. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Seguin, B. ; Peltonen-Sainio, P. ; Rotter, R. ; Iglesias, A. ; Orlandini, S. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Hlavinka, P. ; Balek, J. ; Eckersten, H. ; Cloppet, E. ; Calanca, P. ; Vucetic, V. ; Nejedlík, P. ; Kumar, S. ; Lalic, B. ; Mestre, A. ; Rossi, F. ; Kozyra, J. ; Alexandrov, V. ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. , 2011: Agroclimatic conditions in Europe under climate change, Global Change Biology, 17, 7, 2298-2318
Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Možný, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Málek, J. ; Formayer, H. ; Balek, J. ; Žalud, Z., 2011: A 200-year climate record in Central Europe: implications for agriculture, Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 31, 4, 631-341
Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Semerádová, D. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Balek, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Kubu, G. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Thaler, S. ; Možný, M. ; Žalud, Z., 2011: Expected changes in agroclimatic conditions in Central Europe, Climatic Change, 73, 5-6, 623-626
Kocmánková, E. ; Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Formayer, H. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. ; Juroch, J. ; Možný, M., 2010: Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region, Climate Research, 44, 1, 95-105
Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Balek, J. ; Skalák, Petr ; Farda, A. ; Formayer, H. ; Žalud, Z., 2010: Is rainfed crop production in central Europe at risk? Using a regional climate model to produce high resolution agroclimatic information for decision makers, Journal of Agricultural Science, 148, -, 639-656
Dubrovský, Martin ; Svoboda, M. D. ; Trnka, M. ; Hayes, M. J. ; Wilhite, D. A. ; Žalud, Z. ; Hlavinka, P., 2009: Application of relative drought indices in assessing climate-change impacts on drought conditions in Czechia, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 96, 1-2, 155-171
Hlavinka, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Žalud, Z. ; Možný, M., 2009: Effect of drought on yield variability of key crops in Czech Republic, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149, 3-4, 431-442
Trnka, Miroslav ; Kyselý, Jan ; Možný, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2009: Changes in Central-European soil-moisture availability and circulation patterns in 1881-2005, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 5, 655-672
Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Thaler, S. ; Žalud, Z. ; Možný, M. ; Formayer, H., 2009: Climate-driven changes of production regions in Central Europe, 55, 6, Plant, Soil and Environment, 257-266
Trnka, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Svoboda, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Z. ; Wilhite, D., 2009: Developing a regional drought climatology for the Czech Republic, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 6, 863-883
Hlavinka, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, J. ; Weihs, P. ; Simic, S. ; Blumthaler, M. ; Schreder, J., 2007: Empirical model for estimating daily erythemal UV radiation in the Central European region, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 16, 2, 183-190
Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Kapler, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. ; Formayer, H., 2007: Effect of Estimated Daily Global Solar Radiation Data on the Results of Crop Growth Models, Sensors, 7, 10, 2330-2362
Trnka, M. ; Muška, F. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Kocmánková, E. ; Žalud, Z, 2007: European Corn Borer life stage model: Regional estimates of pest development and spatial distribution under present and future climate, Ecological Modelling, 207, 2-4, 61-84
Dubrovský, Martin ; Nemešová, Ivana ; Kalvová, J., 2005: Uncertainties in climate change scenarios for the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 29, -, 139-156
Kyselý, Jan ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2005: Simulation of extreme temperature events by a stochastic weather generator: effects of interdiurnal and interannual variability reproduction, International Journal of Climatology, 25, 2, 251-269
Trnka, M. ; Žalud, Z. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2005: Global solar radiation in Central European lowlands estimated by various empirical formulae, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 131, 1-2, 54-76