RNDr. Martin Dubrovský, Ph.D.

Projekty:

• GA21-07954S , Měnící se proměnlivost atmosféry, 2021-2024, řešitel (ÚFA): Pejchová Plavcová Eva, tým: Beranová, R., Dubrovský, M., Huth, R., Kašpar, M., Krauskopf, T., Lhotka, O., Navrátilová, D., Rulfová, Z.
• GA ČR GA18-15958S , Vývoj prostorového meteorologického generátoru s vysokým rozlišením pro použití v současném i změněném klimatu, 2018-2020, řešitel (ÚFA): Dubrovský Martin, tým: Lhotka, O., spoluřešitel: Štěpánek, P. (ÚVGZ)
• GA ČR GA16-04676S , Nové přístupy k určování klimatických trendů a jejich statistické významnosti, 2016-2018, hlavní řešitel: Huth Radan (PřF UK), řešitel (ÚFA): Dubrovský Martin, tým: Pokorná, L.
• MŠMT 7AMB16AT020 , Vývoj vícestaničního stochastického meteorologického generátoru pro použití v hydrologickém modelování sněhové pokrývky, 2016-2017, řešitel (ÚFA): Dubrovský Martin
• LD12029 , Downscaling globálních klimatických modelů pomocí stochastického meteorologického generátoru, 2012-2015, řešitel (ÚFA): Dubrovský Martin
• COST ES1102 , VALUE – Validating and Integrating Downscaling Methods for Climate Change Research, 2012-2015, řešitel (ÚFA): Dubrovský Martin
• AV ČR. IAA300420806 , Pravděpodobnostní scénáře klimatu pro Českou republiku, 2008-2011, řešitel (ÚFA): Dubrovský Martin

Publikace:

• Pohanková, E., Hlavinka, P., Kersebaum, K. C., Nendel, C., Rodríguez, A., Balek, J., Dubrovský, M. et al., 2024: Expected effects of climate change on the soil organic matter content related to contrasting agricultural management practices based on a crop model ensemble for locations in Czechia, European Journal of Agronomy, 156, 127165
• Meitner, J., Štěpánek, P., Skalák, P., Dubrovský, M., Lhotka, O., Penčevová, R., Zahradníček, P., Farda, A., Trnka, M., 2023: Validation and Selection of a Representative Subset from the Ensemble of EURO-CORDEX EUR11 Regional Climate Model Outputs for the Czech Republic, Atmosphere, 14, 9, 1442
• Pohanková, E., Hlavinka, P., Kersebaum, K. C., Rodriguez, A., Balek, J., Bednařík, M., Dubrovský, Martin et al., 2022: Expected effects of climate change on the production and water use of crop rotation management reproduced by crop model ensemble for Czech Republic sites, European Journal of Agronomy, 134, 126446
• Trnka, M., Vizina, A., Hanel, M., (...), Dubrovský, Martin, Máca, P., Bělinová, M., Zeman, E., Brázdil, R., 2022: Increasing available water capacity as a factor for increasing drought resilience or potential conflict over water resources under present and future climate conditions, Agricultural Water Management, 264, 107460
• Hofmann, M., Volosciuk, C., Dubrovský, Martin, Maraun, D., Schultz, H.R., 2022: Downscaling of climate change scenarios for a high resolution, site–specific assessment of drought stress risk for two viticultural regions with heterogeneous landscapes, Earth System Dynamics, 13, 2, 911-934
• Huth, R., Dubrovský, M., 2021: Testing for Trends on a Regional Scale: Beyond Local Significance, Journal of Climate, 34, 13, 5349-5365
• Trnka, M., Balek, J., Brázdil, R., Dubrovský, Martin, Eitzinger, J., Hlavinka, P., Chuchma, F., Možný, M., Prášil, I., Růžek, P., Semerádová, D., Štěpánek, P., Zahradníček, P., Žalud, Z., 2021: Observed changes in the agroclimatic zones in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2019, Plant, Soil and Environment, 67, 3, 154-163
• Dabhi, H., Rotach, M. W., Dubrovský, Martin, Oberguggenberger, M., 2021: Evaluation of a stochastic weather generator in simulating univariate and multivariate climate extremes in different climate zones across Europe, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 30, 2, 127-151
• Dubrovský, Martin, Huth, Radan, Dabhi, H., Rotach, M. W., 2020: Parametric gridded weather generator for use in present and future climates: focus on spatial temperature characteristics, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139, 3-4
• Trnka, M., Balek, J., Možný, M., Cienciala, E., Čermák, P., Semerádová, D., Jurečka, F., Hlavinka, P., Štěpánek, P., Farda, A., Skalák, P., Beranová, J., Chuchma, F., Zahradníček, P., Janouš, D., Žalud, Z., Dubrovský, Martin, Kindlmann, P., Křenová, Z., Fischer, M., Hruška, J., Brázdil, R., 2020: Observed and expected changes in wildfire-conducive weather and fire events in peri-urban zones and key nature reserves of the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 82, 33-54
• Gutiérrez, J. M., Maraun, D., Widmann, M., Huth, Radan, (...), Dubrovský, Martin, 2019: An intercomparison of a large ensemble of statistical downscaling methods over Europe: Results from the VALUE perfect predictor cross-validation experiment, International Journal of Climatology, 39, 9 SI, 3750-3785

• Maraun, D., Huth, Radan, Gutiérrez, J. M., Martín, D. S., Dubrovský, Martin, (...), 2019: The VALUE perfect predictor experiment: evaluation of temporal variability, International Journal of Climatology, 39, 9, 3786-3818
• Zahradníček, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Možný, M. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Žalud, Z. ; Malý, A. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Řezníčková, L., 2015: The extreme drought episode of August 2011–May 2012 in the Czech Republic, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 11, 3335-3352
• Hlavinka, Petr ; Kersebaum, K. C. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Fischer, Milan ; Pohanková, Eva ; Balek, Jan ; Žalud, Zdeněk ; Trnka, Miroslav, 2015: Water balance, drought stress and yields for rainfed field crop rotations under present and future conditions in the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 65, 175-192
• Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Možný, M. ; Štepánek, P. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Zahradníček, P. ; Balek, J. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Hlavinka, P. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Wardlow, B. ; Svoboda, M. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Z., 2015: Soil moisture trends in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 13, 3733–3747
• Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Balek, J. ; Semerádová, D. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Možný, M. ; Štepánek, P. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Zahradníček, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, J. ; Fuchs, B. ; Svoboda, M. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Z., 2015: Drivers of soil drying in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2012, International Journal of Climatology, 35, 9, 2664–2675
• Dubrovský, Martin ; Trnka, M. ; Holman, I. P. ; Svobodová, E. ; Harrison, P. A., 2015: Developing a reduced-form ensemble of climate change scenarios for Europe and its application to selected impact indicators, Climatic Change, 128, 3-4, 169-186
• Dubrovský, Martin ; Hayes, M. ; Duce, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Svoboda, M. ; Zara, P. , 2014: Multi-GCM projections of future drought and climate variability indicators for the Mediterranean region, Regional Environmental Change, 14, 5, 1907-1919
• Svobodová, E. ; Trnka, M. ; Žalud, Z. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, J. ; Štepánek, P. ; Brázdil, R., 2014: Climate variability and potential distribution of selected pest species in south Moravia and north-east Austria in the past 200 years – lessons for the future, Journal of Agricultural Science, 152, 2, 225-237
• Eitzinger, J. ; Trnka, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Thaler, S. ; Svobodová, E. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Šiška, B. ; Takáč, J. ; Malatinská, L. ; Nováková, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Žalud, Z., 2013: Regional climate change impacts on agricultural crop production in Central and Eastern Europe – hotspots, regional differences and common trends, Journal of Agricultural Science, 151, 6, 787-812
• Trnka, M. ; Kersebaum,, K. C. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Hayes, M. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Svoboda, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Wardlow, B. ; Pokorný, E. ; Možný, M. ; Wilhite, D. ; Žalud, Z., 2013: Consequences of climate change for the soil climate in Central Europe and the central plains of the United States, Climatic Change, 120, 1-2, 405-418
• Hirschi, M. ; Stoeckli, S. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Spirig, C. ; Calanca, P. ; Rotach, M. V. ; Fischer, A. M. ; Duffy, B. ; Samietz, J. , 2012: Downscaling climate change scenarios for apple pest and disease modeling in Switzerland, Earth System Dynamics , 3, 1, 33-47
• Thaler, S. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Trnka, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin , 2012: Impacts of climate change and alternative adaptation options on winter wheat yield and water productivity in a dry climate in Central Europe, Journal of Agricultural Science, 150, 5, 537-555
• Rötter, R.P. ; Palosuo, T. ; Pirttioja, N. K. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Salo, T. ; Fronzek, S. ; Aikasalo, R. ; Trnka, M. ; Ristolainen, A ; Carter, T. R., 2011: What would happen to barley production in Finland if global warming exceeded 4 degrees C? A model-based assessment , European Journal of Agronomy, 35, 205-214
• Kocmánková, E. ; Trnka, Miroslav ; Eitzinger, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Štěpánek, P. ; Semerádová, D. ; Balek, J. ; Skalák, P. ; Farda, A. ; Juroch, J. ; Žalud, Z., 2011: Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests at a high spatial resolution: a novel approach, Journal of Agricultural Science, 149, -, 185-195
• Trnka, Miroslav ; Olesen, Jorgen Eivind ; Kersebaum, K. C. ; Skjelvag, A. O. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Seguin, B. ; Peltonen-Sainio, P. ; Rotter, R. ; Iglesias, A. ; Orlandini, S. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Hlavinka, P. ; Balek, J. ; Eckersten, H. ; Cloppet, E. ; Calanca, P. ; Vucetic, V. ; Nejedlík, P. ; Kumar, S. ; Lalic, B. ; Mestre, A. ; Rossi, F. ; Kozyra, J. ; Alexandrov, V. ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. , 2011: Agroclimatic conditions in Europe under climate change, Global Change Biology, 17, 7, 2298-2318
• Trnka, M. ; Brázdil, R. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Dobrovolný, P. ; Možný, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Málek, J. ; Formayer, H. ; Balek, J. ; Žalud, Z., 2011: A 200-year climate record in Central Europe: implications for agriculture, Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 31, 4, 631-341
• Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Semerádová, D. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Balek, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Kubu, G. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Thaler, S. ; Možný, M. ; Žalud, Z., 2011: Expected changes in agroclimatic conditions in Central Europe, Climatic Change, 73, 5-6, 623-626
• Kocmánková, E. ; Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Formayer, H. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. ; Juroch, J. ; Možný, M., 2010: Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region, Climate Research, 44, 1, 95-105
• Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Balek, J. ; Skalák, Petr ; Farda, A. ; Formayer, H. ; Žalud, Z., 2010: Is rainfed crop production in central Europe at risk? Using a regional climate model to produce high resolution agroclimatic information for decision makers, Journal of Agricultural Science, 148, -, 639-656
• Dubrovský, Martin ; Svoboda, M. D. ; Trnka, M. ; Hayes, M. J. ; Wilhite, D. A. ; Žalud, Z. ; Hlavinka, P., 2009: Application of relative drought indices in assessing climate-change impacts on drought conditions in Czechia, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 96, 1-2, 155-171
• Hlavinka, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Žalud, Z. ; Možný, M., 2009: Effect of drought on yield variability of key crops in Czech Republic, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149, 3-4, 431-442
• Trnka, Miroslav ; Kyselý, Jan ; Možný, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2009: Changes in Central-European soil-moisture availability and circulation patterns in 1881-2005, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 5, 655-672
• Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Hlavinka, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Štěpánek, P. ; Thaler, S. ; Žalud, Z. ; Možný, M. ; Formayer, H., 2009: Climate-driven changes of production regions in Central Europe, 55, 6, Plant, Soil and Environment, 257-266
• Trnka, M. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Svoboda, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Hayes, M. ; Žalud, Z. ; Wilhite, D., 2009: Developing a regional drought climatology for the Czech Republic, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 6, 863-883
• Hlavinka, P. ; Trnka, M. ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Eitzinger, J. ; Weihs, P. ; Simic, S. ; Blumthaler, M. ; Schreder, J., 2007: Empirical model for estimating daily erythemal UV radiation in the Central European region, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 16, 2, 183-190
• Trnka, M. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Kapler, P. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Semerádová, D. ; Žalud, Z. ; Formayer, H., 2007: Effect of Estimated Daily Global Solar Radiation Data on the Results of Crop Growth Models, Sensors, 7, 10, 2330-2362
• Trnka, M. ; Muška, F. ; Semerádová, D. ; Dubrovský, Martin ; Kocmánková, E. ; Žalud, Z, 2007: European Corn Borer life stage model: Regional estimates of pest development and spatial distribution under present and future climate, Ecological Modelling, 207, 2-4, 61-84
• Dubrovský, Martin ; Nemešová, Ivana ; Kalvová, J., 2005: Uncertainties in climate change scenarios for the Czech Republic, Climate Research, 29, -, 139-156
• Kyselý, Jan ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2005: Simulation of extreme temperature events by a stochastic weather generator: effects of interdiurnal and interannual variability reproduction, International Journal of Climatology, 25, 2, 251-269
• Trnka, M. ; Žalud, Z. ; Eitzinger, J. ; Dubrovský, Martin, 2005: Global solar radiation in Central European lowlands estimated by various empirical formulae, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 131, 1-2, 54-76